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2020-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 31.7% 68.3% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 27.2% 72.8% -
Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% -
Log Adjusted 9.7% 90.3% -
Points Off/Def 17.7% 82.3% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +15 (119-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damion Lee * 31 4-6 1-3 2-2 7 2 1 0 11 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 28 7-17 3-11 5-5 3 5 3 0 22 - -
Glenn Robinson III * 27 4-10 1-6 2-2 1 3 0 1 11 - -
Draymond Green * 27 3-8 1-2 2-4 4 7 1 0 9 - -
Marquese Chriss * 23 4-6 0-0 1-2 3 1 2 1 9 - -
Alec Burks 24 5-10 3-6 5-6 4 0 1 0 18 - -
Eric Paschall 23 1-5 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Omari Spellman 21 2-6 1-4 2-2 3 3 2 2 7 - -
Jordan Poole 18 1-6 0-4 3-3 3 1 0 1 5 - -
Jacob Evans 13 2-3 2-2 2-2 1 0 1 1 8 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 32 8-15 3-5 6-6 8 3 1 1 25 - -
Kemba Walker * 31 5-13 2-5 1-2 4 5 2 0 13 - -
Jaylen Brown * 26 6-13 2-4 4-4 7 2 1 1 18 - -
Daniel Theis * 25 2-3 1-1 0-0 8 3 2 0 5 - -
Jayson Tatum * 23 7-14 1-5 5-6 6 2 1 1 20 - -
Semi Ojeleye 29 3-5 1-3 2-2 4 1 2 0 9 - -
Marcus Smart 27 8-16 5-10 0-0 3 6 1 1 21 - -
Grant Williams 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 3 2 0 4 - -
Brad Wanamaker 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Vincent Poirier 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Romeo Langford 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Carsen Edwards 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter