Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 14.1% | 85.9% | +10.0 | β (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | β |
Actual: Boston Celtics +1 (103-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 41 | 15-26 | 11-21 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 41 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 34 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 7-10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 34 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bogdan BogdanoviΔ | 29 | 5-20 | 2-13 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Smart * | 36 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 34 | 9-16 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 34 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Enes Freedom * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 21 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tremont Waters | 19 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Carsen Edwards | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter