Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.1% | 35.9% | -3.2 | ✓ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -22 (100-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 31 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 27 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 22 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart | 24 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 23 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 12 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 30 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 27 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 29 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 16 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 14 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 14 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter