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2020-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 63.9% 36.1% -
Bradley-Terry 57.4% 42.6% -
Margin 71.9% 28.1% -5.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 66.5% 33.5% -
Efficiency 88.9% 11.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.9% 15.1% -
Log Adjusted 84.9% 15.1% -
Points Off/Def 74.1% 25.9% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -8 (115-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 35 10-20 5-9 3-3 7 3 1 0 28 - -
Gordon Hayward * 33 9-16 3-6 3-4 7 6 0 1 24 - -
Jaylen Brown * 32 9-17 1-3 2-2 5 0 1 0 21 - -
Daniel Theis * 19 3-4 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Javonte Green * 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 - -
Brad Wanamaker 27 5-9 2-3 4-4 3 5 4 0 16 - -
Grant Williams 24 6-9 0-2 1-1 6 2 1 2 13 - -
Enes Freedom 15 4-7 0-0 0-1 9 1 0 0 8 - -
Tremont Waters 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 - -
Semi Ojeleye 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Carsen Edwards 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 38 10-12 2-2 0-0 11 3 1 2 22 - -
Kevin Huerter * 38 9-21 5-11 0-0 3 2 0 1 23 - -
Jeff Teague * 36 7-14 0-0 4-4 1 6 4 0 18 - -
Trae Young * 35 10-20 4-11 10-11 3 7 2 0 34 - -
Damian Jones * 17 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Evan Turner 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 - -
Vince Carter 18 2-7 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 3 4 - -
Treveon Graham 17 1-4 1-2 3-4 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Brandon Goodwin 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter