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2020-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 80.8% 19.2% -
Bradley-Terry 63.7% 36.3% -
Margin 75.8% 24.2% -6.3 (21.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -
Efficiency 73.2% 26.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% -
Log Adjusted 66.9% 33.1% -
Points Off/Def 56.4% 43.6% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +15 (123-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kemba Walker * 38 10-24 4-10 11-11 5 4 2 1 35 - -
Gordon Hayward * 37 9-16 2-5 3-3 6 2 1 0 23 - -
Marcus Smart * 36 3-13 1-7 0-1 4 7 0 0 7 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 8-16 1-5 3-4 2 1 1 0 20 - -
Daniel Theis * 30 7-10 0-2 1-3 9 1 0 2 15 - -
Javonte Green 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 4 - -
Semi Ojeleye 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Grant Williams 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 - -
Vincent Poirier 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Brad Wanamaker 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Carsen Edwards 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 36 3-10 2-9 0-0 6 15 1 1 8 - -
Jrue Holiday * 34 10-20 4-8 1-2 6 5 0 0 25 - -
Brandon Ingram * 30 5-13 3-5 3-3 3 3 1 0 16 - -
Zion Williamson * 27 9-16 0-1 3-8 11 2 1 0 21 - -
Derrick Favors * 27 6-10 0-0 3-3 10 1 1 2 15 - -
Josh Hart 28 3-8 2-5 0-0 8 1 2 1 8 - -
JJ Redick 23 5-9 3-5 4-5 4 1 0 1 17 - -
Jaxson Hayes 10 1-2 0-0 4-6 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Frank Jackson 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 - -
Nicolo Melli 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
E'Twaun Moore 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter