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2020-07-31

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 69.7% 30.3% -
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% -
Margin 51.0% 49.0% -0.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% -
Log Adjusted 33.7% 66.3% -
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (119-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 34 6-14 0-3 5-5 9 6 0 1 17 - -
Jaylen Brown * 33 6-15 3-10 7-9 4 1 1 0 22 - -
Jayson Tatum * 32 2-18 0-4 1-2 7 3 2 1 5 - -
Daniel Theis * 31 5-13 2-6 1-2 12 3 0 2 13 - -
Kemba Walker * 19 5-9 3-6 3-4 1 2 0 1 16 - -
Marcus Smart 32 7-11 3-6 6-8 4 1 1 0 23 - -
Brad Wanamaker 26 5-9 0-2 4-4 6 1 2 0 14 - -
Semi Ojeleye 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Enes Freedom 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -
Grant Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 32 6-20 2-9 4-4 5 8 1 0 18 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 32 14-20 1-3 7-12 15 7 1 1 36 - -
Brook Lopez * 28 4-10 2-5 4-4 4 0 1 6 14 - -
Wesley Matthews * 26 2-6 2-6 3-3 0 0 0 0 9 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 26 4-8 2-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 10 - -
George Hill 27 2-5 0-2 3-4 4 4 1 0 7 - -
Sterling Brown 22 1-4 0-3 1-1 6 1 3 0 3 - -
Robin Lopez 14 3-4 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 13 1-2 1-1 4-4 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Kyle Korver 13 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 6 - -
D.J. Wilson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter