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Ball State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Ball State Cardinals, Ball State
Program History
Coach: Michael Lewis

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

67.6
PPG
69.5
Opp
-1.9
Margin
42.2%
FG%
32.0%
3P%
69.4%
FT%
32.2
RPG
12.5
APG
10.8
TO
75.6
Pace
63.4
AdjO
71.9
AdjD
#286
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 930 (#235) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 894 (#260) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 978 (#552) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -8.4 (#287) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +7.8 (#266) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.291 (#290) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.7 More → 0.542 (#161) NetEff +1.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.7 More → 0.188 (#297) AdjNet -12.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.8 More → 0.186 (#297) AdjNet -12.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.316 (#286) AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 71.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 66.8 More → 0.502 (#238) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 66.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.623 (#271) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.594 (#266) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 30 More → 977 (#258) RD 152 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 75 - 64
2025-11-07 vs Mansfield Mountaineers W 84 - 54
2025-11-11 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 55 - 86
2025-11-15 vs Little Rock Trojans L 62 - 68
2025-11-22 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 52 - 70
2025-11-28 vs Monmouth Hawks L 73 - 80
2025-11-29 @ Lafayette Leopards L 37 - 55
2025-11-30 vs Le Moyne Dolphins W 96 - 85
2025-12-03 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 52 - 64
2025-12-14 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 64 - 69
2025-12-20 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 77 - 86
2025-12-29 vs Earlham College Quakers W 93 - 30
2026-01-03 @ Buffalo Bulls L 72 - 85
2026-01-06 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles L 52 - 74
2026-01-10 @ Massachusetts Minutemen L 71 - 79
2026-01-13 @ Akron Zips L 77 - 87
2026-01-16 vs Ohio Bobcats W 76 - 71
2026-01-20 @ Central Michigan Chippewas W 68 - 67
2026-01-24 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 58 - 53
2026-01-31 @ Toledo Rockets L 55 - 73
2026-02-03 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 52 - 77
2026-02-07 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 73 - 68
2026-02-11 vs Buffalo Bulls L 53 - 63
2026-02-14 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 68 - 75
2026-02-17 @ Ohio Bobcats L 57 - 69
2026-02-21 vs Akron Zips L 65 - 78
2026-02-24 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 74 - 73
2026-02-28 @ Northern Illinois Huskies W 79 - 43
2026-03-03 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 74 - 71
2026-03-06 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 85 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Hill D. Hill - 30 27.2 14.1 4.5 2.3 1.2 0.3 1.7 11.1 9.7 -29 -2.9 -27.5 46.4 34.3 75.0 0.02 55.8 51.8
A. Zeigler A. Zeigler G 30 32.4 12.8 5.2 3.2 1.3 0.3 2.8 10.5 9.6 5 0.2 0.5 40.8 33.7 78.5 0.07 52.0 45.7
D. Barnes D. Barnes G 30 21.1 9.3 1.5 2.1 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.6 5.3 24 2.4 18.2 37.7 35.0 81.8 0.07 53.1 47.1
E. James E. James G 30 24.2 7.9 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.6 7.2 3.2 -48 -2.0 -5.8 40.1 27.6 77.3 0.69 50.1 46.8
K. Fish K. Fish F 22 18.2 7.0 2.9 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.9 5.5 4.9 -34 -2.4 -9.5 49.2 29.4 68.9 -0.05 55.1 51.2
Juwan Maxey Juwan Maxey - 23 17.8 6.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.8 6.9 2.1 -4 -1.3 -3.1 31.0 28.1 61.5 -0.14 43.7 41.8
J. Hart J. Hart G 3 17.7 6.0 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.3 3.7 -12 -3.0 -16.1 46.2 28.6 100.0 -0.11 61.0 53.8
Preston Copeland Preston Copeland - 29 18.8 4.6 4.4 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 3.2 6.6 -21 -1.0 -3.6 62.4 0 34.0 -0.04 57.8 62.4
M. Jones M. Jones F 30 30.6 4.1 4.3 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.8 4.1 7.1 -71 -3.5 -7.5 37.7 36.5 40.9 -0.73 47.1 47.1
C. Denson C. Denson F 26 15.9 3.0 2.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.1 2.7 4.1 -21 -1.4 -5.0 37.7 30.8 58.3 0.04 45.4 40.6
J. Bearden J. Bearden - 14 5.7 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.6 56 5.6 144.4 56.2 20.0 81.8 0.1 67.2 59.4
Easton Foster Easton Foster - 6 3.2 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.2 18 3.6 591.8 44.4 25.0 33.3 0.03 48.4 50.0
K. Clancy K. Clancy G 10 6.1 1.4 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 58 9.7 436.4 55.6 42.9 33.3 0.17 67.8 72.2
Z. Doughty Z. Doughty C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
A. Farley A. Farley - 2 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG