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Ball State

Also known as: Ball State Cardinals, Ball State
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

67.5
PPG
69.5
Opp
-2.0
Margin
42.0%
FG%
31.6%
3P%
69.4%
FT%
32.3
RPG
12.7
APG
10.6
TO
65.9
Est. poss./game
62.5
Adj PPG
70.5
Adj Opp PPG
#290
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 808 (#280) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 849 (#296) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More โ†’ 976 (#216) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More โ†’ -8.6 (#289) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -6.8 (#268) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.291 (#290) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.1 More โ†’ 0.291 (#290) NetEff -8.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.7 More โ†’ 0.188 (#299) AdjNet -12.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.7 More โ†’ 0.186 (#298) AdjNet -12.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 70.5 More โ†’ 0.326 (#290) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 70.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 69.0 More โ†’ 0.416 (#263) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 69.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.321 (#276) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.338 (#272) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 29 More โ†’ 907 (#251) RD 154 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 75 - 64
2025-11-07 vs Mansfield Mountaineers W 84 - 54
2025-11-11 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 55 - 86
2025-11-15 vs Little Rock Trojans L 62 - 68
2025-11-22 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 52 - 70
2025-11-28 vs Monmouth Hawks L 73 - 80
2025-11-29 @ Lafayette Leopards L 37 - 55
2025-11-30 vs Le Moyne Dolphins W 96 - 85
2025-12-03 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 52 - 64
2025-12-09 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 64 - 68
2025-12-14 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 64 - 69
2025-12-20 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 77 - 86
2025-12-29 vs Earlham Quakers W 93 - 30
2026-01-03 @ Buffalo Bulls L 72 - 85
2026-01-06 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles L 52 - 74
2026-01-10 @ Massachusetts Minutemen L 71 - 79
2026-01-13 @ Akron Zips L 77 - 87
2026-01-16 vs Ohio Bobcats W 76 - 71
2026-01-20 @ Central Michigan Chippewas W 68 - 67
2026-01-24 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 58 - 53
2026-01-31 @ Toledo Rockets L 55 - 73
2026-02-03 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 52 - 77
2026-02-07 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 73 - 68
2026-02-11 vs Buffalo Bulls L 53 - 63
2026-02-14 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 68 - 75
2026-02-17 @ Ohio Bobcats L 57 - 69
2026-02-20 vs Akron Zips L 65 - 78
2026-02-24 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 74 - 73
2026-02-28 @ Northern Illinois Huskies W 79 - 43
2026-03-03 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 74 - 71
2026-03-06 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 85 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Davion Hill Davion Hill - 31 26.9 14.0 4.4 2.3 1.2 0.3 1.6 11.1 9.5 -46 24 -1.9 -2.8 46.2 33.9 75.2 0.48 55.6 51.6
Armoni Zeigler Armoni Zeigler G 31 32.4 12.5 5.1 3.3 1.4 0.3 2.7 10.4 9.5 -48 24 -2.0 -2.5 40.2 33.0 77.9 0.58 51.2 45.0
Devon Barnes Devon Barnes G 31 20.9 9.1 1.4 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.5 5.0 -21 24 -0.9 -1.6 37.3 33.9 81.5 -0.98 52.7 46.6
Joey Hart Joey Hart G 4 19.2 9.0 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 5.5 6.2 - - - - 54.5 40.0 100.0 -1.46 70.5 63.6
Elmore James Elmore James G 31 23.9 7.8 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.6 7.2 3.2 -83 24 -3.5 -5.5 39.5 27.4 78.3 -4.06 49.5 46.0
Kayden Fish Kayden Fish F 23 18.4 7.2 3.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 1.0 5.7 5.2 -3 16 -0.2 -0.4 48.5 31.8 66.0 1.05 54.4 51.1
Juwan Maxey Juwan Maxey - 24 17.7 6.3 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.8 6.8 2.1 -52 17 -3.1 -7.6 29.9 26.8 64.5 -3.74 42.8 40.2
Preston Copeland Preston Copeland - 30 18.7 4.6 4.4 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 3.2 6.5 -40 24 -1.7 -3.5 62.5 0 33.3 -0.51 57.8 62.5
Mason Jones Mason Jones F 31 30.9 4.2 4.4 1.7 1.5 0.5 0.8 4.0 7.4 -59 24 -2.5 -3.3 38.4 36.9 40.9 -0.57 47.9 48.0
Cam Denson Cam Denson F 26 15.9 3.0 2.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.1 2.7 4.1 -83 22 -3.8 -10.9 37.7 30.8 58.3 -3.83 45.4 40.6
J. Bearden J. Bearden - 14 5.7 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.6 66 12 5.5 36.9 56.2 20.0 81.8 4.83 67.2 59.4
Easton Foster Easton Foster - 6 3.2 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.2 19 5 3.8 41.0 44.4 25.0 33.3 0.78 48.4 50.0
Kody Clancy Kody Clancy G 10 6.1 1.4 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 46 9 5.1 32.3 55.6 42.9 33.3 2.73 67.8 72.2
Zane Doughty Zane Doughty C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Alex Farley Alex Farley - 2 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.85 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Former Ball State players in G League 2025-2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Ball State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG
B. Jihad 2021-24 G League College Park Skyhawks 32 25.4 13.8 6.4 1.4

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-03-28 B. Jihad G League College Park Skyhawks @ Greensboro Swarm 28 6 7 1 Box
2026-03-27 B. Jihad G League College Park Skyhawks @ Greensboro Swarm 35 39 8 2 Box
2026-03-25 B. Jihad G League College Park Skyhawks vs Osceola Magic 24 10 5 1 Box

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1765 located field-goal attempts in 31 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Hill24% Hill24% Zeigler27% Zeigler25% Zeigler35% Maxey25% Jones29% Barnes22% Zeigler22% Barnes27%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Hill23% Hill22% Zeigler23% Zeigler31% Zeigler50% James28% Hill18% Maxey20% Barnes24% Hill21%
Misses: who misses most here

Davion HillArmoni ZeiglerDevon BarnesElmore JamesJuwan MaxeyMason Jones

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 292-469 62.3 584 Davion Hill 24% (142 pts) Armoni Zeigler 16% (94 pts) Davion Hill 23% (40 misses) Armoni Zeigler 20% (35 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 188-458 41.0 376 Davion Hill 24% (92 pts) Armoni Zeigler 20% (76 pts) Davion Hill 22% (60 misses) Armoni Zeigler 21% (56 misses)
Mid-range left 22-52 42.3 44 Armoni Zeigler 27% (12 pts) Juwan Maxey 18% (8 pts) Armoni Zeigler 23% (7 misses) Davion Hill 23% (7 misses)
Mid-range center 12-47 25.5 24 Armoni Zeigler 25% (6 pts) Davion Hill 25% (6 pts) Armoni Zeigler 31% (11 misses) Devon Barnes 20% (7 misses)
Mid-range right 20-62 32.3 40 Armoni Zeigler 35% (14 pts) Devon Barnes 25% (10 pts) Armoni Zeigler 50% (21 misses) Devon Barnes 17% (7 misses)
Left corner 3 20-67 29.9 60 Juwan Maxey 25% (15 pts) Devon Barnes 20% (12 pts) Elmore James 28% (13 misses) Juwan Maxey 26% (12 misses)
Right corner 3 21-61 34.4 63 Mason Jones 29% (18 pts) Juwan Maxey 19% (12 pts) Davion Hill 18% (7 misses) Devon Barnes 18% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 left 63-219 28.8 189 Devon Barnes 22% (42 pts) Elmore James 22% (42 pts) Juwan Maxey 20% (31 misses) Devon Barnes 18% (28 misses)
Above-break 3 center 40-118 33.9 120 Armoni Zeigler 22% (27 pts) Davion Hill 22% (27 pts) Devon Barnes 24% (19 misses) Juwan Maxey 19% (15 misses)
Above-break 3 right 63-212 29.7 189 Devon Barnes 27% (51 pts) Armoni Zeigler 19% (36 pts) Davion Hill 21% (31 misses) Juwan Maxey 18% (27 misses)