Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +18 (70-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones * | 32 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -8.2 |
| A. Zeigler * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -11.8 |
| D. Barnes * | 28 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | -1.8 |
| K. Fish * | 23 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -8.6 |
| E. James * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | -8.8 |
| D. Hill | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Denson | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10.6 |
| J. Maxey | 16 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -11.5 |
| P. Copeland | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Scott * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | +7.7 |
| M. Harding * | 31 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +13.9 |
| X. Hall * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 5 | +12.1 |
| C. Wagner * | 26 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.4 |
| S. Young * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -6.6 |
| J. Van Buggenhout | 27 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +20.6 |
| B. Alocen | 24 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +18.5 |
| E. St. Bernard | 14 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Walker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter