Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -6 (62-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Bayless * | 38 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Johnathan Lawson * | 37 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Tuongthach Gatkek * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Terrion Burgess * | 27 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kachi Nzeh * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Wallace | 28 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Truman Claytor IV | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Christian Hughes | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler * | 38 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Mason Jones * | 34 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Elmore James * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Devon Barnes * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Kayden Fish * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cam Denson | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Davion Hill | 26 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Juwan Maxey | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Preston Copeland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter