Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.7% | 97.3% | +19.8 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips +10 (87-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zeigler | 37 | 11-18 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 13 | +0.9 |
| M. Jones | 36 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -12.4 |
| C. Denson | 32 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | -4.2 |
| D. Hill | 32 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| E. James | 31 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | -12.5 |
| D. Barnes | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +1.0 |
| P. Copeland | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +8.6 |
| K. Clancy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Johnson | 37 | 9-20 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | -0.5 |
| E. Mahaffey | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| S. Scott | 29 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | +3.0 |
| A. Lyles | 29 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 21 | +19.7 |
| Z. Halligan | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.9 |
| B. Hardman | 18 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | +5.1 |
| E. Mahaffey | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Musiime-Kamali | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -16.4 |
| O. Stankovic | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -9.3 |
| S. Young | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.9 |
* = starter