Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.1 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips +10 (87-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler | 37 | 11-18 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 13 | -1.6 |
| Mason Jones | 36 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -13.3 |
| Cam Denson | 32 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | -6.6 |
| Davion Hill | 32 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +0.1 |
| Elmore James | 31 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | -15.0 |
| Devon Barnes | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Preston Copeland | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +8.2 |
| Kody Clancy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.2 |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari Johnson | 37 | 9-20 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Evan Mahaffey | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | +22.2 |
| Shammah Scott | 29 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | -5.6 |
| Amani Lyles | 29 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 21 | +22.3 |
| Zach Halligan | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Bowen Hardman | 18 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | -1.0 |
| Eric Mahaffey | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -20.7 |
| Ognjen Stankovic | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -11.0 |
| Sharron Young | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +7.4 |
* = starter