Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Campbell Fighting Camels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Campbell Fighting Camels +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones | 37 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -3.5 |
| J. Hart | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +2.9 |
| A. Zeigler | 29 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -0.1 |
| K. Fish | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -7.1 |
| D. Hill | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| P. Copeland | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +0.8 |
| D. Barnes | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -0.1 |
| E. James | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -10.1 |
| J. Maxey | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.1 |
Campbell Fighting Camels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Smith | 39 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 7 | +4.7 |
| C. Gregory | 38 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +5.2 |
| D. Butka | 35 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | +12.3 |
| C. Fields Jr. | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-11 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +3.4 |
| T. Cook | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1.0 |
| J. Johnson | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Newton | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3.9 |
| E. Kalambay | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter