Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.4% | 89.6% | +11.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +25 (77-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zeigler | 32 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Denson | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Hill | 30 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| E. James | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. Jones | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Maxey | 20 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| P. Copeland | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Barnes | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Bearden | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Clancy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shackelford | 33 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| J. Campbell | 30 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Thomas | 28 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| S. Towns | 27 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Wol | 24 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Ruffin | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Glover II | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Goins | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Leach | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Karel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Kimbrough Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter