Model Predictions
| Model | Kent State Golden Flashes | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.2% | 24.8% | -6.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Medley | 38 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | - |
| D. Gillespie | 37 | 7-10 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 26 | - |
| M. Safford | 31 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Williamson | 26 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| R. Whaley Jr. | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| M. Entenmann | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Q. Woidke | 15 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| R. Griffith | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Moss | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Briscoe | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zeigler | 38 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Hill | 34 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Jones | 31 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Fish | 30 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Barnes | 19 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Maxey | 18 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| E. James | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| P. Copeland | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Denson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bearden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter