Model Predictions
| Model | Kent State Golden Flashes | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.3% | 23.7% | -6.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cian Medley | 38 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | +4.3 |
| Delrecco Gillespie | 37 | 7-10 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 26 | +8.3 |
| Morgan Safford | 31 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | +4.7 |
| Jahari Williamson | 26 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +7.2 |
| Rob Whaley Jr. | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Magnus Entenmann | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2.6 |
| Quinn Woidke | 15 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Rayvon Griffith | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Brenden Moss | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Dezmon Briscoe | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.2 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler | 38 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Davion Hill | 34 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | -3.6 |
| Mason Jones | 31 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -4.5 |
| Kayden Fish | 30 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -5.4 |
| Devon Barnes | 19 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | -7.8 |
| Juwan Maxey | 18 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +0.0 |
| Elmore James | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Preston Copeland | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Cam Denson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
| J. Bearden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2.0 |
* = starter