Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.3% | 28.7% | -5.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -7 (73-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Collins * | 38 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | -9.8 |
| J. Rivera-Torres * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -11.6 |
| C. Robinson Jr. * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -10.8 |
| J. Ray * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -1.8 |
| S. Spartalis * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -8.1 |
| A. Ball | 20 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | -10.0 |
| D. Muordar | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Dobuol | 7 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +0.0 |
| A. Martinez | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Harvey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.0 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zeigler * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +10.9 |
| M. Jones * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | +7.7 |
| J. Maxey * | 27 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +11.8 |
| E. James * | 21 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -0.2 |
| K. Fish * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
| P. Copeland | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +4.8 |
| C. Denson | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +2.8 |
| D. Hill | 19 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| D. Barnes | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.1 |
| J. Bearden | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.9 |
* = starter