Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | -9.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.6% | 27.4% | -5.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -7 (73-80). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Collins * | 38 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jason Rivera-Torres * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Cornelius Robinson Jr. * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Justin Ray * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Stefanos Spartalis * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Andrew Ball | 20 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Dok Muordar | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jinup Dobuol | 7 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Martinez | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O'Marion Harvey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Mason Jones * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Juwan Maxey * | 27 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Elmore James * | 21 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Kayden Fish * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Preston Copeland | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Cam Denson | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Davion Hill | 19 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Devon Barnes | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Bearden | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter