Model Predictions
| Model | Akron Zips | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.2% | 5.8% | -15.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -13 (65-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lyles | 34 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| T. Johnson | 34 | 9-20 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| E. Mahaffey | 26 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| E. Mahaffey | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Scott | 23 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| B. Hardman | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Z. Halligan | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| S. Young | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Musiime-Kamali | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| H. Barre | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zeigler | 37 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| D. Hill | 32 | 6-12 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 15 | - |
| P. Copeland | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Jones | 29 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Barnes | 23 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| E. James | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Denson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Fish | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Maxey | 8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter