Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Central Michigan Chippewas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✗ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas -1 (67-68). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler * | 33 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +0.2 |
| Devon Barnes * | 31 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | -3.9 |
| Elmore James * | 28 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4 | -0.4 |
| Mason Jones * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Preston Copeland * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +4.2 |
| Davion Hill | 28 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +16.3 |
| Kayden Fish | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Cam Denson | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | +4.6 |
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Garner * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | -7.0 |
| Nathan Claerbaut * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | +7.3 |
| Tamario Adley * | 32 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 26 | +11.4 |
| Logan McIntire * | 32 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | +6.1 |
| P. Brooks * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +4.8 |
| Jalen Kampen | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -12.5 |
| Jaxson Whitaker | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -20.1 |
| Nick Mullen | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.6 |
| Will Ashford | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.7 |
| Kayden Nation | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.2 |
* = starter