Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.9% | 41.1% | -2.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Paveletzke | 39 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 6 | -6.9 |
| A. Hadaway | 38 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | -0.6 |
| A. Sheldon | 36 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +11.5 |
| J. Kelly | 34 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +6.5 |
| J. Simmons | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +6.1 |
| J. Breath | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.2 |
| J. Burris | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -18.1 |
| D. Conners | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -15.0 |
| K. Kuany | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zeigler | 38 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 12-13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 23 | +1.0 |
| M. Jones | 37 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +5.6 |
| P. Copeland | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -11.3 |
| D. Barnes | 29 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | +3.7 |
| E. James | 28 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +12.7 |
| D. Hill | 27 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| C. Denson | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +14.2 |
* = starter