Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Massachusetts Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Massachusetts Minutemen +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler | 39 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Mason Jones | 38 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Elmore James | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Davion Hill | 28 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Preston Copeland | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Devon Barnes | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Cam Denson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kody Clancy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Bettiol | 34 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Daniel Hankins-Sanford | 33 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Banks | 30 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jayden Ndjigue | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Danny Carbuccia | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| K'Jei Parker | 20 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Placide | 14 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Dwayne Wimbley JR | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Luka Damjanac | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Brown | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Dimitri Clerc | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter