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2026-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Ball State Cardinals Western Michigan Broncos Spread Result
Elo 62.5% 37.5% -
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% -
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Log Adjusted 35.4% 64.6% -
Points Off/Def 40.6% 59.4% -

Actual: Western Michigan Broncos -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jones 42 0-2 0-1 0-0 10 0 3 2 0 0 13 -
A. Zeigler 42 10-19 2-4 6-10 7 8 0 0 3 28 21 -
D. Hill 38 7-15 0-1 3-7 2 3 3 0 1 17 9 -
P. Copeland 35 6-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 12 11 -
J. Maxey 22 3-4 2-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 8 -
D. Barnes 18 1-8 0-3 2-2 2 1 3 0 0 4 2 -
E. James 16 1-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
K. Fish 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
C. Denson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Western Michigan Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Williams 40 8-17 2-8 4-5 6 1 0 0 1 22 11 -
J. Brewer 38 6-12 1-2 7-7 13 0 0 3 6 20 18 -
EJ Ryans 30 0-6 0-1 5-6 0 2 0 0 2 5 -1 -
C. Vis 25 5-7 1-2 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 11 9 -
T. Lewis 19 1-4 1-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
M. Sulaka 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 2 0 2 6 -
S. Barnes 16 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 1 1 -
M. Burton 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Peterson 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Griffith 12 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter