Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.4% | 33.6% | -3.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -10 (53-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Talton Jr. | 38 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Sabol | 38 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| N. Batchelor | 37 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Oboh | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| A. Brizzi | 28 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| K. Jones | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| E. McKenna | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Buteliauskas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones | 32 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| A. Zeigler | 30 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Hill | 29 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| K. Fish | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Maxey | 25 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| E. James | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Barnes | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| P. Copeland | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Denson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter