Model Predictions
| Model | Massachusetts Minutemen | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.0% | 31.0% | -4.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +1 (74-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Carbuccia | 37 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Banks Jr. | 35 | 3-18 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -5 | - |
| I. Placide | 28 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| D. Wimbley Jr. | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Bettiol | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| J. Ndjigue | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Parker | 18 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| L. Damjanac | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| D. Clerc | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Zeigler | 41 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Jones | 35 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. James | 33 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Hill | 31 | 7-20 | 1-7 | 11-11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 11 | - |
| K. Fish | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| P. Copeland | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| J. Maxey | 16 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Barnes | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Bearden | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Denson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Clancy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter