Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Northern Illinois Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.9% | 38.1% | -2.7 | ✓ (33.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies -36 (43-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Hill | 30 | 7-14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Devon Barnes | 26 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Mason Jones | 23 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Armoni Zeigler | 23 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Preston Copeland | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Elmore James | 19 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kayden Fish | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Juwan Maxey | 15 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Cam Denson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Bearden | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kody Clancy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alex Farley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Easton Foster | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Walters | 32 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Makhai Valentine | 29 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gianni Cobb | 28 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dylan Ducommun | 23 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Daemar Kelly | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Hassan Washington | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Gustav Winther | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Carlos Coronado Jr. | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jaylen Wharton | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Isaiah Washington | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Max Laskey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter