Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Illinois Huskies | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | +9.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +5 (58-53). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Cobb * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4.2 |
| Taj Walters * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Makhai Valentine * | 34 | 3-16 | 1-11 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | -6.6 |
| Gustav Winther * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Dylan Ducommun * | 14 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +4.9 |
| Daemar Kelly | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4.0 |
| Hassan Washington | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -12.6 |
| Isaiah Washington | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +4.5 |
| Jaylen Wharton | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.1 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler * | 35 | 7-15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Elmore James * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Mason Jones * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +9.4 |
| Devon Barnes * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +5.7 |
| Preston Copeland * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Davion Hill | 30 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | -6.2 |
| Kayden Fish | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Cam Denson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -10.8 |
| Juwan Maxey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
* = starter