Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +16 (85-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Brooks | 34 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| T. Adley | 33 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| N. Claerbaut | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Garner | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| L. McIntire | 25 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Whitaker | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| N. Mullen | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Kampen | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| W. Ashford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Nation | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Brooks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hill | 35 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 21 | - |
| E. James | 32 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Barnes | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| M. Jones | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| A. Zeigler | 23 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | - |
| K. Fish | 21 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| P. Copeland | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Maxey | 10 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Denson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter