Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +16 (85-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Brooks | 34 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | -17.0 |
| Tamario Adley | 33 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Nathan Claerbaut | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | -8.7 |
| Keenan Garner | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -11.3 |
| Logan McIntire | 25 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -6.8 |
| Jaxson Whitaker | 23 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -23.3 |
| Nick Mullen | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -8.6 |
| Jalen Kampen | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -6.6 |
| Will Ashford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Kayden Nation | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Jorden Brooks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Hill | 35 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 21 | +18.9 |
| Elmore James | 32 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +7.5 |
| Devon Barnes | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | +7.4 |
| Mason Jones | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +13.9 |
| Armoni Zeigler | 23 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | +14.2 |
| Kayden Fish | 21 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +15.5 |
| Preston Copeland | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Juwan Maxey | 10 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.4 |
| Cam Denson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
* = starter