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2026-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Ball State Cardinals Ohio Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% -
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% -
Margin 23.6% 76.4% +6.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% -
Efficiency 38.0% 62.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% -
Log Adjusted 20.7% 79.3% -
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% -

Actual: Ohio Bobcats +12 (69-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hill 37 6-11 0-2 4-4 5 1 1 1 1 16 12 -
A. Zeigler 35 1-9 0-1 2-2 4 3 0 0 3 4 -1 -
M. Jones 28 2-3 1-2 0-2 1 2 1 0 2 5 4 -
P. Copeland 24 3-5 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 0 0 7 12 -
D. Barnes 19 7-11 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 17 8 -
E. James 17 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
C. Denson 15 0-2 0-0 1-4 5 0 1 1 1 1 5 -
K. Fish 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 0 4 -
J. Maxey 12 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -

Ohio Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Paveletzke 38 7-16 0-1 4-4 4 6 0 0 0 18 12 -
J. Kelly 35 2-5 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 1 0 7 10 -
A. Hadaway 34 6-11 3-5 3-4 8 2 0 0 1 18 16 -
A. Sheldon 33 3-8 3-7 3-3 0 1 2 0 1 12 6 -
J. Simmons 28 2-4 1-1 4-4 5 2 1 0 4 9 9 -
J. Breath 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. Conners 9 0-3 0-3 0-2 2 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Kuany 6 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 2 0 1 2 -
J. Burris 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter