Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.5% | 58.5% | +1.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +12 (64-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones | 38 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | -12.3 |
| A. Zeigler | 35 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | -10.0 |
| J. Maxey | 25 | 1-11 | 0-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -3 | -15.2 |
| P. Copeland | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -12.3 |
| D. Barnes | 22 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | -9.1 |
| K. Fish | 18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -4.0 |
| E. James | 16 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.0 |
| D. Hill | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Hart | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -6.4 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Turnbull | 29 | 9-13 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 23 | +16.5 |
| A.J. Casey | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | +11.7 |
| T. Hundley | 25 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +17.9 |
| B. Quinet | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +17.5 |
| J. Hughes | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -0.7 |
| K. Berridge | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | +15.5 |
| L. Moeller | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.9 |
| A. Hemenway | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -4.1 |
| K. Porter | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4.1 |
* = starter