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Portland Trail Blazers

Also known as: Portland Trail Blazers
Program History

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1133 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1023 (#86) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.8 More → +5.4 (#30) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.465 (#21) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.8 More → 0.460 (#19) NetEff -1.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.9 More → 0.664 (#19) AdjNet +5.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.0 More → 0.666 (#19) AdjNet +6.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 117.0 | AdjD 111.1 More → 0.630 (#20) AdjO 117.0 | AdjD 111.1

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-10-24 vs DEN L 100 - 108
2019-10-26 @ SAC W 122 - 112
2019-10-27 @ DAL W 121 - 119
2019-10-29 @ SAS L 110 - 113
2019-10-31 @ OKC W 102 - 99
2019-11-03 vs PHI L 128 - 129
2019-11-05 @ GSW L 118 - 127
2019-11-08 @ LAC L 101 - 107
2019-11-09 vs BKN L 115 - 119
2019-11-11 vs ATL W 124 - 113
2019-11-13 @ SAC L 99 - 107
2019-11-14 vs TOR L 106 - 114
2019-11-17 @ SAS W 121 - 116
2019-11-19 @ HOU L 108 - 132
2019-11-20 @ NOP L 104 - 115
2019-11-22 @ MIL L 129 - 137
2019-11-24 @ CLE L 104 - 110
2019-11-26 @ CHI W 117 - 94
2019-11-28 vs OKC W 136 - 119
2019-11-30 vs CHI W 107 - 103
2019-12-04 @ LAC L 97 - 117
2019-12-04 vs SAC W 127 - 116
2019-12-06 vs LAL L 113 - 136
2019-12-09 vs OKC L 96 - 108
2019-12-11 vs NYK W 115 - 87
2019-12-13 @ DEN L 99 - 114
2019-12-17 @ PHX W 111 - 110
2019-12-19 vs GSW W 122 - 112
2019-12-21 vs ORL W 118 - 103
2019-12-22 vs MIN W 113 - 106
2019-12-24 vs NOP L 94 - 102
2019-12-27 @ UTA L 115 - 121
2019-12-29 vs LAL L 120 - 128
2019-12-31 vs PHX L 116 - 122
2020-01-02 @ NYK L 93 - 117
2020-01-04 @ WAS W 122 - 103
2020-01-05 @ MIA L 111 - 122
2020-01-08 @ TOR W 101 - 99
2020-01-10 @ MIN L 102 - 116
2020-01-12 vs MIL L 101 - 122
2020-01-14 vs CHA W 115 - 112
2020-01-16 @ HOU W 117 - 107
2020-01-18 @ DAL L 112 - 120
2020-01-19 @ OKC L 106 - 119
2020-01-21 vs GSW W 129 - 124
2020-01-23 vs DAL L 125 - 133
2020-01-26 vs IND W 139 - 129
2020-01-29 vs HOU W 125 - 112
2020-01-31 @ LAL W 127 - 119
2020-02-01 vs UTA W 124 - 107
2020-02-04 @ DEN L 99 - 127
2020-02-06 vs SAS W 125 - 117
2020-02-07 @ UTA L 114 - 117
2020-02-09 vs MIA W 115 - 109
2020-02-11 @ NOP L 117 - 138
2020-02-12 @ MEM L 104 - 111
2020-02-21 vs NOP L 115 - 128
2020-02-24 vs DET W 107 - 104
2020-02-25 vs BOS L 106 - 118
2020-02-27 @ IND L 100 - 106
2020-03-01 @ ATL L 117 - 129
2020-03-03 @ ORL W 130 - 107
2020-03-05 vs WAS W 125 - 104
2020-03-06 @ PHX L 117 - 127
2020-03-07 vs SAC L 111 - 123
2020-03-11 vs PHX W 121 - 105
2020-07-31 vs MEM W 140 - 135
2020-08-02 @ BOS L 124 - 128
2020-08-04 vs HOU W 110 - 102
2020-08-06 @ DEN W 125 - 115
2020-08-08 vs LAC L 117 - 122
2020-08-09 vs PHI W 124 - 121
2020-08-11 @ DAL W 134 - 131
2020-08-13 @ BKN W 134 - 133

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Damian Lillard Damian Lillard SG 66 37.0 30.0 4.3 8.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 20.4 23.3 - - - 46.3 40.1 88.8 - 62.7 56.3
CJ McCollum CJ McCollum SG 70 36.0 22.2 4.2 4.4 0.8 0.6 0.0 19.4 12.9 - - - 45.1 37.9 75.7 - 54.1 52.2
Jusuf Nurkić Jusuf Nurkić C 8 31.4 17.6 10.2 4.0 1.4 2.0 0.0 13.6 21.6 - - - 49.5 20.0 88.6 - 56.7 50.5
Hassan Whiteside Hassan Whiteside C 67 29.5 15.5 13.5 1.2 0.4 2.9 0.0 10.5 23.0 - - - 62.1 57.1 68.6 - 64.4 62.4
Carmelo Anthony Carmelo Anthony SF 58 32.3 15.4 6.3 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 13.5 11.1 - - - 43.0 38.5 84.5 - 52.5 48.5
Rodney Hood Rodney Hood SF 21 29.0 11.0 3.4 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.2 8.7 - - - 50.6 49.3 77.8 - 62.5 60.8
Trevor Ariza Trevor Ariza SF 21 33.0 11.0 4.8 2.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 7.6 12.1 - - - 49.1 40.0 87.2 - 64.3 59.7
Gary Trent Jr. Gary Trent Jr. SG 61 21.4 8.9 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 7.2 5.3 - - - 44.4 41.8 82.2 - 58.7 57.1
Anfernee Simons Anfernee Simons SG 70 20.2 8.3 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.7 4.7 - - - 39.9 33.2 82.6 - 50.2 46.9
Kent Bazemore Kent Bazemore SF 43 25.4 7.9 4.0 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.0 7.6 7.5 - - - 34.7 32.7 80.6 - 47.5 43.3
Zach Collins Zach Collins PF 11 25.8 7.0 6.3 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 6.2 9.5 - - - 47.1 36.8 75.0 - 53.8 52.2
Skal Labissiere Skal Labissiere SF 33 16.7 5.8 5.1 1.3 0.2 0.9 0.0 4.5 8.8 - - - 55.1 23.1 75.8 - 58.8 56.1
Mario Hezonja PF 53 15.9 4.8 3.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.1 6.0 - - - 42.2 30.8 81.4 - 52.5 47.7
Anthony Tolliver Anthony Tolliver PF 33 16.3 3.9 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.0 3.5 5.1 - - - 36.8 33.7 68.4 - 51.5 49.6
Nassir Little Nassir Little SF 48 11.4 3.6 2.2 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.1 3.7 - - - 43.0 23.7 63.6 - 50.5 47.7
Caleb Swanigan C 20 12.8 3.0 4.7 1.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.1 7.3 - - - 60.5 0.0 53.3 - 60.5 60.5
Jaylen Hoard Jaylen Hoard - 13 7.5 2.9 2.5 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.5 3.6 - - - 46.9 0.0 61.5 - 50.4 46.9
Wenyen Gabriel Wenyen Gabriel F 19 8.7 2.3 2.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.6 3.8 - - - 48.4 41.7 75.0 - 60.6 56.5
Moses Brown Moses Brown - 9 3.2 1.2 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1 2.0 - - - 40.0 0 37.5 - 40.7 40.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG