Portland Trail Blazers
Model Outputs
2019-2020
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1133 (#11) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1023 (#86) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.4 (#30) | HCA +1.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.465 (#21) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.460 (#19) | NetEff -1.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.664 (#19) | AdjNet +5.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.666 (#19) | AdjNet +6.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.630 (#20) | AdjO 117.0 | AdjD 111.1 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-24 | vs | DEN | L | 100 - 108 |
| 2019-10-26 | @ | SAC | W | 122 - 112 |
| 2019-10-27 | @ | DAL | W | 121 - 119 |
| 2019-10-29 | @ | SAS | L | 110 - 113 |
| 2019-10-31 | @ | OKC | W | 102 - 99 |
| 2019-11-03 | vs | PHI | L | 128 - 129 |
| 2019-11-05 | @ | GSW | L | 118 - 127 |
| 2019-11-08 | @ | LAC | L | 101 - 107 |
| 2019-11-09 | vs | BKN | L | 115 - 119 |
| 2019-11-11 | vs | ATL | W | 124 - 113 |
| 2019-11-13 | @ | SAC | L | 99 - 107 |
| 2019-11-14 | vs | TOR | L | 106 - 114 |
| 2019-11-17 | @ | SAS | W | 121 - 116 |
| 2019-11-19 | @ | HOU | L | 108 - 132 |
| 2019-11-20 | @ | NOP | L | 104 - 115 |
| 2019-11-22 | @ | MIL | L | 129 - 137 |
| 2019-11-24 | @ | CLE | L | 104 - 110 |
| 2019-11-26 | @ | CHI | W | 117 - 94 |
| 2019-11-28 | vs | OKC | W | 136 - 119 |
| 2019-11-30 | vs | CHI | W | 107 - 103 |
| 2019-12-04 | @ | LAC | L | 97 - 117 |
| 2019-12-04 | vs | SAC | W | 127 - 116 |
| 2019-12-06 | vs | LAL | L | 113 - 136 |
| 2019-12-09 | vs | OKC | L | 96 - 108 |
| 2019-12-11 | vs | NYK | W | 115 - 87 |
| 2019-12-13 | @ | DEN | L | 99 - 114 |
| 2019-12-17 | @ | PHX | W | 111 - 110 |
| 2019-12-19 | vs | GSW | W | 122 - 112 |
| 2019-12-21 | vs | ORL | W | 118 - 103 |
| 2019-12-22 | vs | MIN | W | 113 - 106 |
| 2019-12-24 | vs | NOP | L | 94 - 102 |
| 2019-12-27 | @ | UTA | L | 115 - 121 |
| 2019-12-29 | vs | LAL | L | 120 - 128 |
| 2019-12-31 | vs | PHX | L | 116 - 122 |
| 2020-01-02 | @ | NYK | L | 93 - 117 |
| 2020-01-04 | @ | WAS | W | 122 - 103 |
| 2020-01-05 | @ | MIA | L | 111 - 122 |
| 2020-01-08 | @ | TOR | W | 101 - 99 |
| 2020-01-10 | @ | MIN | L | 102 - 116 |
| 2020-01-12 | vs | MIL | L | 101 - 122 |
| 2020-01-14 | vs | CHA | W | 115 - 112 |
| 2020-01-16 | @ | HOU | W | 117 - 107 |
| 2020-01-18 | @ | DAL | L | 112 - 120 |
| 2020-01-19 | @ | OKC | L | 106 - 119 |
| 2020-01-21 | vs | GSW | W | 129 - 124 |
| 2020-01-23 | vs | DAL | L | 125 - 133 |
| 2020-01-26 | vs | IND | W | 139 - 129 |
| 2020-01-29 | vs | HOU | W | 125 - 112 |
| 2020-01-31 | @ | LAL | W | 127 - 119 |
| 2020-02-01 | vs | UTA | W | 124 - 107 |
| 2020-02-04 | @ | DEN | L | 99 - 127 |
| 2020-02-06 | vs | SAS | W | 125 - 117 |
| 2020-02-07 | @ | UTA | L | 114 - 117 |
| 2020-02-09 | vs | MIA | W | 115 - 109 |
| 2020-02-11 | @ | NOP | L | 117 - 138 |
| 2020-02-12 | @ | MEM | L | 104 - 111 |
| 2020-02-21 | vs | NOP | L | 115 - 128 |
| 2020-02-24 | vs | DET | W | 107 - 104 |
| 2020-02-25 | vs | BOS | L | 106 - 118 |
| 2020-02-27 | @ | IND | L | 100 - 106 |
| 2020-03-01 | @ | ATL | L | 117 - 129 |
| 2020-03-03 | @ | ORL | W | 130 - 107 |
| 2020-03-05 | vs | WAS | W | 125 - 104 |
| 2020-03-06 | @ | PHX | L | 117 - 127 |
| 2020-03-07 | vs | SAC | L | 111 - 123 |
| 2020-03-11 | vs | PHX | W | 121 - 105 |
| 2020-07-31 | vs | MEM | W | 140 - 135 |
| 2020-08-02 | @ | BOS | L | 124 - 128 |
| 2020-08-04 | vs | HOU | W | 110 - 102 |
| 2020-08-06 | @ | DEN | W | 125 - 115 |
| 2020-08-08 | vs | LAC | L | 117 - 122 |
| 2020-08-09 | vs | PHI | W | 124 - 121 |
| 2020-08-11 | @ | DAL | W | 134 - 131 |
| 2020-08-13 | @ | BKN | W | 134 - 133 |
2020 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Damian Lillard
|
SG | 66 | 37.0 | 30.0 | 4.3 | 8.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 20.4 | 23.3 | - | - | - | 46.3 | 40.1 | 88.8 | - | 62.7 | 56.3 |
CJ McCollum
|
SG | 70 | 36.0 | 22.2 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 19.4 | 12.9 | - | - | - | 45.1 | 37.9 | 75.7 | - | 54.1 | 52.2 |
Jusuf Nurkić
|
C | 8 | 31.4 | 17.6 | 10.2 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 13.6 | 21.6 | - | - | - | 49.5 | 20.0 | 88.6 | - | 56.7 | 50.5 |
Hassan Whiteside
|
C | 67 | 29.5 | 15.5 | 13.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 10.5 | 23.0 | - | - | - | 62.1 | 57.1 | 68.6 | - | 64.4 | 62.4 |
Carmelo Anthony
|
SF | 58 | 32.3 | 15.4 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 13.5 | 11.1 | - | - | - | 43.0 | 38.5 | 84.5 | - | 52.5 | 48.5 |
Rodney Hood
|
SF | 21 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 8.2 | 8.7 | - | - | - | 50.6 | 49.3 | 77.8 | - | 62.5 | 60.8 |
Trevor Ariza
|
SF | 21 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 7.6 | 12.1 | - | - | - | 49.1 | 40.0 | 87.2 | - | 64.3 | 59.7 |
Gary Trent Jr.
|
SG | 61 | 21.4 | 8.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 7.2 | 5.3 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 41.8 | 82.2 | - | 58.7 | 57.1 |
Anfernee Simons
|
SG | 70 | 20.2 | 8.3 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 7.7 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 39.9 | 33.2 | 82.6 | - | 50.2 | 46.9 |
Kent Bazemore
|
SF | 43 | 25.4 | 7.9 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 7.6 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 34.7 | 32.7 | 80.6 | - | 47.5 | 43.3 |
Zach Collins
|
PF | 11 | 25.8 | 7.0 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 6.2 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 47.1 | 36.8 | 75.0 | - | 53.8 | 52.2 |
Skal Labissiere
|
SF | 33 | 16.7 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 8.8 | - | - | - | 55.1 | 23.1 | 75.8 | - | 58.8 | 56.1 |
| Mario Hezonja | PF | 53 | 15.9 | 4.8 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 4.1 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 42.2 | 30.8 | 81.4 | - | 52.5 | 47.7 |
Anthony Tolliver
|
PF | 33 | 16.3 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 5.1 | - | - | - | 36.8 | 33.7 | 68.4 | - | 51.5 | 49.6 |
Nassir Little
|
SF | 48 | 11.4 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 3.7 | - | - | - | 43.0 | 23.7 | 63.6 | - | 50.5 | 47.7 |
| Caleb Swanigan | C | 20 | 12.8 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 7.3 | - | - | - | 60.5 | 0.0 | 53.3 | - | 60.5 | 60.5 |
Jaylen Hoard
|
- | 13 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 46.9 | 0.0 | 61.5 | - | 50.4 | 46.9 |
Wenyen Gabriel
|
F | 19 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 3.8 | - | - | - | 48.4 | 41.7 | 75.0 | - | 60.6 | 56.5 |
Moses Brown
|
- | 9 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 37.5 | - | 40.7 | 40.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG