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2020-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% - โœ—
Margin 58.8% 41.2% -1.9 โœ— (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 59.6% 40.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% - โœ—

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +13 (125-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 41 16-29 1-3 6-6 10 6 2 1 39 - -
James Harden * 38 5-18 2-8 6-6 5 4 2 2 18 - -
P.J. Tucker * 34 2-7 1-4 0-0 9 4 1 0 5 - -
Eric Gordon * 29 2-10 1-8 3-4 0 2 2 1 8 - -
Clint Capela * 17 1-1 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 0 2 - -
Austin Rivers 28 6-11 5-8 0-0 3 0 1 0 17 - -
Danuel House Jr. 24 2-8 2-7 0-0 4 3 0 1 6 - -
Ben McLemore 22 6-10 5-9 0-0 0 1 0 0 17 - -
Thabo Sefolosha 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 39 11-21 6-12 8-10 10 11 1 0 36 - -
Trevor Ariza * 38 9-14 3-6 0-0 4 1 2 0 21 - -
CJ McCollum * 38 9-19 1-7 3-7 5 3 2 2 22 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 34 2-11 0-4 2-2 13 5 1 0 6 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 28 6-9 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 5 15 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 26 3-7 2-5 2-2 5 3 2 0 10 - -
Nassir Little 18 4-5 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 10 - -
Anfernee Simons 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Caleb Swanigan 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter