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2019-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 58.8% 41.2% -1.9 (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% -
Efficiency 78.9% 21.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.3% 27.7% -
Log Adjusted 72.2% 27.8% -
Points Off/Def 61.8% 38.2% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -23 (113-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 33 11-23 4-9 5-7 7 8 0 1 31 - -
Anthony Davis * 32 12-21 2-6 13-15 9 2 2 3 39 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 27 1-3 1-3 2-2 0 5 1 0 5 - -
Danny Green * 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 5 2 1 1 3 - -
JaVale McGee * 15 6-7 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 2 13 - -
Kyle Kuzma 24 6-13 3-6 0-0 6 1 0 0 15 - -
Alex Caruso 23 2-4 1-1 3-4 1 2 1 0 8 - -
Dwight Howard 21 1-1 0-0 3-4 10 0 2 0 5 - -
Rajon Rondo 14 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 4 2 1 6 - -
Troy Daniels 12 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 9 - -
Quinn Cook 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Jared Dudley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 40 9-18 2-8 9-11 7 8 0 0 29 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 34 4-13 1-3 6-7 3 1 3 0 15 - -
CJ McCollum * 34 5-13 3-7 2-2 3 5 1 0 15 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 32 8-12 0-0 1-2 10 2 3 1 17 - -
Rodney Hood * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Kent Bazemore 24 3-9 1-5 3-3 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Mario Hezonja 17 1-4 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Anfernee Simons 16 5-10 3-7 2-2 2 1 0 0 15 - -
Skal Labissiere 10 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 6 - -
Nassir Little 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 2 2 - -
Anthony Tolliver 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter