Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.4 | ✓ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +21 (138-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 29 | 7-17 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 29 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 8-9 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 27 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 27 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 26 | 8-16 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 27 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Caleb Swanigan | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 13 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Hoard | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 29 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 27 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 11-14 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 26 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 27 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 22 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 20 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 16 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter