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2020-08-04

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% -
Margin 50.0% 50.0% -0.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -
Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.8% 37.2% -
Log Adjusted 62.7% 37.3% -
Points Off/Def 55.1% 44.9% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +8 (110-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 35 5-14 0-2 5-12 3 9 2 1 15 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 35 6-14 4-10 1-1 4 3 0 1 17 - -
Robert Covington * 35 2-11 2-11 0-0 8 1 2 0 6 - -
James Harden * 33 7-17 3-8 6-7 6 9 0 0 23 - -
P.J. Tucker * 33 2-7 2-6 0-0 8 0 1 0 6 - -
Jeff Green 27 7-15 5-9 3-4 6 1 0 0 22 - -
Ben McLemore 24 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 2 1 8 - -
Austin Rivers 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 39 8-18 2-6 2-4 7 5 0 0 20 - -
Damian Lillard * 39 6-19 3-7 6-7 9 8 2 0 21 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 35 5-14 2-4 3-5 11 1 2 1 15 - -
Jusuf Nurkić * 29 6-15 0-0 6-6 19 3 1 3 18 - -
Zach Collins * 26 4-9 0-2 0-2 7 1 1 0 8 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 35 5-11 4-9 2-2 2 0 1 0 16 - -
Hassan Whiteside 17 4-5 0-0 1-3 7 0 0 1 9 - -
Anfernee Simons 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter