🐻⬇️🏀

@
2020-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 64.5% 35.5% -
Bradley-Terry 32.3% 67.7% -
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 15.1% 84.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.7% 78.3% -
Log Adjusted 21.8% 78.2% -
Points Off/Def 26.4% 73.6% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -8 (119-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 40 8-22 2-9 1-2 6 5 0 0 19 - -
Damian Lillard * 40 17-30 7-12 7-8 9 10 2 0 48 - -
Trevor Ariza * 39 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 3 6 1 2 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 33 13-14 0-0 4-6 13 2 2 5 30 - -
Wenyen Gabriel * 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 22 4-9 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 10 - -
Anfernee Simons 15 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 2 0 0 4 - -
Caleb Swanigan 13 2-2 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 0 5 - -
Nassir Little 11 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Mario Hezonja 11 0-4 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 38 14-22 3-5 6-8 16 6 1 5 37 - -
LeBron James * 37 9-22 3-8 1-4 8 10 0 1 22 - -
Avery Bradley * 25 3-6 2-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 10 - -
Danny Green * 21 1-8 1-6 2-3 3 1 0 1 5 - -
JaVale McGee * 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 6 - -
Kyle Kuzma 25 6-12 0-3 5-7 15 0 0 0 17 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 21 3-7 1-3 1-2 1 1 1 0 8 - -
Rajon Rondo 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 5 0 0 2 - -
Dwight Howard 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 6 - -
Alex Caruso 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Troy Daniels 7 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Jared Dudley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Quinn Cook 5 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter