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2020-02-21

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -
Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Log Adjusted 52.7% 47.3% -
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -13 (115-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 40 6-11 3-5 0-0 4 7 1 1 15 - -
Jrue Holiday * 31 5-10 4-6 6-8 2 9 4 0 20 - -
Zion Williamson * 29 10-17 0-0 5-10 4 3 1 0 25 - -
Brandon Ingram * 27 5-8 3-4 3-5 4 6 0 0 16 - -
Derrick Favors * 25 4-8 0-1 0-1 12 1 1 0 8 - -
Josh Hart 27 4-5 3-3 2-5 13 2 0 1 13 - -
JJ Redick 20 4-9 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 9 - -
Nicolo Melli 18 5-11 3-8 0-0 5 2 1 0 13 - -
E'Twaun Moore 10 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 6 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 1 4 - -
Frank Jackson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 37 10-22 3-8 4-4 6 10 0 0 27 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 36 5-11 3-4 2-3 1 2 1 0 15 - -
Trevor Ariza * 34 5-7 1-2 2-3 8 2 2 1 13 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 32 6-17 2-6 6-6 5 1 1 1 20 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 31 9-16 0-0 1-2 12 2 0 6 19 - -
Anfernee Simons 27 2-12 0-4 3-5 3 2 3 0 7 - -
Nassir Little 17 4-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Caleb Swanigan 8 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter