Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | -3.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -8 (125-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 34 | 11-25 | 2-11 | 3-6 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 32 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 25 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 25 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 28 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 22 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 16 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 41 | 16-28 | 8-15 | 7-7 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 47 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 37 | 7-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 35 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 31 | 7-10 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Caleb Swanigan | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter