Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.9% | 51.1% | +0.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +8 (125-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 36 | 9-23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 33 | 9-11 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 21 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 37 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 9-20 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 36 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 35 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 30 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 23 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 15 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Caleb Swanigan | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter