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2020-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 69.5% 30.5% -
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% -
Margin 22.9% 77.1% +6.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% -
Log Adjusted 47.8% 52.2% -
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +7 (111-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 40 9-25 3-9 2-2 3 5 1 0 23 - -
Damian Lillard * 36 7-19 2-7 4-4 5 10 1 0 20 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 35 1-15 0-4 3-4 15 0 1 1 5 - -
Trevor Ariza * 35 4-11 2-7 2-2 6 1 2 1 12 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 34 6-8 0-0 4-8 11 2 1 0 16 - -
Anfernee Simons 27 7-12 6-7 2-2 7 1 0 0 22 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 16 1-5 0-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Caleb Swanigan 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Moses Brown 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 33 1-6 1-4 5-6 5 1 1 3 8 - -
Ja Morant * 32 9-23 0-5 2-2 5 9 1 0 20 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 27 5-11 0-0 2-4 18 2 0 3 12 - -
Kyle Anderson * 26 3-4 0-1 0-0 9 1 1 1 6 - -
Dillon Brooks * 22 4-16 3-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 11 - -
De'Anthony Melton 25 4-7 1-3 3-5 4 4 0 0 12 - -
Brandon Clarke 22 12-14 0-0 3-5 6 1 2 1 27 - -
Josh Jackson 20 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 - -
Tyus Jones 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 4 - -
Gorgui Dieng 12 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 2 1 7 - -

* = starter