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2019-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 17.0% 83.0% -
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% -
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +1.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Log Adjusted 47.4% 52.6% -
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +11 (127-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 40 8-24 3-12 4-6 7 7 2 0 23 - -
Harrison Barnes * 34 3-9 0-1 2-2 4 3 1 0 8 - -
Richaun Holmes * 33 11-14 0-0 6-8 10 0 1 0 28 - -
Cory Joseph * 32 4-10 1-2 2-2 3 7 0 0 11 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 27 7-15 3-7 0-0 7 4 1 2 17 - -
Trevor Ariza 35 4-10 2-7 1-2 6 1 1 2 11 - -
Yogi Ferrell 15 5-7 1-2 2-3 1 3 1 0 13 - -
Dewayne Dedmon 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 2 5 - -
Justin James 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 37 14-22 5-10 0-0 4 4 1 4 33 - -
Damian Lillard * 37 7-12 4-6 6-7 4 10 2 1 24 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 35 8-16 2-4 2-2 5 0 0 1 20 - -
Rodney Hood * 33 2-7 2-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 6 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 33 8-10 0-0 6-8 16 7 0 3 22 - -
Kent Bazemore 22 5-9 3-5 2-2 6 1 1 0 15 - -
Skal Labissiere 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 - -
Nassir Little 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Anfernee Simons 12 1-5 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 3 - -

* = starter