Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (131-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 41 | 17-32 | 9-17 | 18-18 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 61 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 38 | 2-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 34 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 19 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 35 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 9-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 35 | 12-17 | 7-9 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 36 | - | - | |
| Luka Dončić * | 34 | 8-19 | 2-8 | 7-9 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 29 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 26 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanović | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter