Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | -3.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +5 (140-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 43 | 10-22 | 6-15 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 40 | 7-22 | 1-7 | 7-7 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 35 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 14 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 34 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Anthony Tolliver | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 45 | 14-21 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 44 | 10-22 | 2-9 | 7-9 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 37 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 26 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter