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2020-08-09

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 33.3% 66.7% -
Bradley-Terry 52.7% 47.3% -
Margin 60.5% 39.5% -2.3 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -
Efficiency 62.5% 37.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% -
Log Adjusted 60.2% 39.8% -
Points Off/Def 52.4% 47.6% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +3 (124-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Richardson * 38 13-20 6-10 2-2 5 6 0 0 34 - -
Tobias Harris * 32 7-19 2-4 0-0 7 3 0 0 16 - -
Shake Milton * 24 4-10 0-3 3-4 0 2 0 0 11 - -
Al Horford * 22 6-9 3-4 0-0 6 5 0 1 15 - -
Joel Embiid * 5 1-6 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Matisse Thybulle 33 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 3 3 1 2 - -
Alec Burks 23 8-14 1-4 3-3 5 2 0 0 20 - -
Glenn Robinson III 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Mike Scott 15 4-7 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 12 1-1 1-1 4-5 1 0 1 0 7 - -
Norvel Pelle 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 1 - -
Kyle O'Quinn 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 40 16-28 4-12 15-16 3 7 2 0 51 - -
CJ McCollum * 39 7-17 2-6 0-0 7 4 1 0 16 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 35 6-13 2-4 6-6 7 0 2 1 20 - -
Jusuf Nurkić * 29 5-9 0-1 5-5 6 3 0 3 15 - -
Zach Collins * 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 2 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 33 2-8 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Mario Hezonja 25 5-10 2-5 0-0 7 2 2 0 12 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Anfernee Simons 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter