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2020-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 17.0% 83.0% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% - βœ—
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +1.3 βœ— (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - βœ—
Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 47.4% 52.6% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - βœ—

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -12 (111-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 35 7-13 5-7 1-2 5 1 0 0 20 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 28 10-15 7-11 0-0 5 8 1 1 27 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 28 3-11 0-2 8-8 5 11 2 0 14 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 20 3-7 1-3 3-3 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Harry Giles III * 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 6 - -
Buddy Hield 25 8-14 6-9 0-0 3 3 2 0 22 - -
Kent Bazemore 24 3-6 2-4 0-0 7 4 3 0 8 - -
Cory Joseph 24 1-4 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 1 4 - -
Richaun Holmes 19 3-8 0-0 4-6 8 0 0 1 10 - -
Alex Len 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Yogi Ferrell 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Justin James 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 34 7-15 1-7 4-6 4 6 2 0 19 - -
Damian Lillard * 33 4-15 2-10 2-4 3 6 2 0 12 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 30 8-11 0-0 3-5 11 0 0 3 19 - -
Trevor Ariza * 29 1-6 1-5 2-2 7 2 0 0 5 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 23 2-5 1-2 3-4 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Mario Hezonja 22 7-11 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 16 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 21 5-9 2-5 2-2 0 0 0 0 14 - -
Anfernee Simons 18 3-8 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 15 3-5 1-2 1-2 5 0 2 0 8 - -
Caleb Swanigan 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 5 2-4 0-2 0-1 0 1 1 0 4 - -

* = starter