Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.9% | 39.1% | -2.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +6 (115-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 38 | 6-15 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn * | 27 | 4-18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 34 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 30 | 8-20 | 5-13 | 6-7 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Silva | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 39 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza * | 39 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 11-23 | 6-15 | 5-6 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 32 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 33 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Caleb Swanigan | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter