🐻⬇️🏀

NC State

2012 Team Stats (10 games)

67.7
PPG
67.6
Opp
+5.3
Margin
41.9%
FG%
34.8%
3P%
64.7%
FT%
37.8
RPG
13.4
APG
13.0
TO
81.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1545 (#57) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1573 (#25) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +34.2 (#41) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.566 (#47) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.5 More → 0.274 (#111) NetEff -8.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.3 More → 0.698 (#36) AdjNet +7.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.4 More → 0.702 (#36) AdjNet +7.4

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 84 - 75
2011-11-13 vs Morehead State Eagles W 91 - 61
2011-11-16 vs Princeton Tigers W 60 - 58
2011-11-19 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 79 - 86
2011-11-21 vs Texas Longhorns W 77 - 74
2011-11-25 vs Elon Phoenix W 82 - 67
2011-11-30 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 75 - 86
2011-12-04 @ Stanford Cardinal L 72 - 76
2011-12-11 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 65 - 60
2011-12-17 vs Syracuse Orange L 72 - 88
2011-12-20 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 67 - 65
2011-12-22 vs Northeastern Huskies W 88 - 59
2011-12-29 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 87 - 81
2011-12-31 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 82 - 55
2012-01-04 vs Delaware State Hornets W 78 - 44
2012-01-08 vs Maryland Terrapins W 79 - 74
2012-01-11 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 71 - 82
2012-01-14 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 76 - 40
2012-01-19 vs Boston College Eagles W 76 - 62
2012-01-22 @ Miami Hurricanes W 78 - 73
2012-01-26 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 55 - 74
2012-01-28 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 60 - 61
2012-02-01 @ Boston College Eagles W 56 - 51
2012-02-04 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 87 - 76
2012-02-09 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 61 - 52
2012-02-16 @ Duke Blue Devils L 73 - 78
2012-02-18 vs Florida State Seminoles L 62 - 76
2012-02-21 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 74 - 86
2012-02-25 @ Clemson Tigers L 69 - 72
2012-02-29 vs Miami Hurricanes W 77 - 73
2012-03-04 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 70 - 58
2012-03-08 vs Boston College Eagles W 78 - 57
2012-03-09 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 67 - 64
2012-03-10 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 67 - 69
2012-03-16 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 79 - 65
2012-03-18 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 66 - 63
2012-03-23 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 57 - 60

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C.J. Leslie C.J. Leslie F 34 29.0 14.7 7.3 1.1 1.1 1.6 2.3 6.1 17.4 - - - 51.7 16.7 58.8 - 100.1 51.9
L. Brown L. Brown G 37 34.3 12.7 4.5 6.3 1.8 0.5 3.2 5.4 17.3 23 2.3 16.5 43.8 46.5 72.8 0.47 99.3 48.8
S. Wood S. Wood F 36 32.9 12.4 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.6 1.1 4.1 12.4 - - - 36.9 34.3 86.4 - 132.8 49.3
R. Howell R. Howell F 37 27.0 10.8 9.2 1.1 1.0 0.3 2.0 4.6 15.9 - - - 48.3 0.0 58.7 - 100.1 48.3
C.J. Williams C.J. Williams G-F 37 31.1 10.6 3.8 1.8 1.1 0.4 1.2 4.5 11.9 54 4.9 2.9 48.2 34.0 81.0 1.94 111.8 53.3
D. Painter D. Painter C 37 20.0 6.2 4.3 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.9 2.8 7.9 - - - 41.3 0.0 61.8 - 97.1 41.3
A. Johnson A. Johnson G 37 19.5 4.4 1.7 2.8 0.8 0.0 1.6 2.2 6.0 35 1.2 9.3 32.5 27.3 80.0 0.99 96.0 41.9
J. Vandenberg J. Vandenberg C 7 11.9 2.0 2.7 0.9 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.7 5.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 140.0 100.0
T. Harris T. Harris F 19 6.9 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.2 1.8 -34 -3.4 -5.1 36.4 50.0 50.0 0.53 76.5 38.6
K. Smith K. Smith F 6 2.0 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.3 - - - 50.0 0 75.0 -0.04 106.4 50.0
T. de Thaey T. de Thaey F 18 5.9 1.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 - - - 31.2 28.6 100.0 - 68.1 37.5
S. Battle S. Battle G 6 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 150.0 75.0
J. Raymond J. Raymond G 10 2.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 - - - 40.0 40.0 0 - 90.0 60.0
J. Lewis J. Lewis G 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 14 2.8 2.1 0 0 0 1.02 0 0
B. Amos B. Amos - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
P. Johnson P. Johnson - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8 1.6 0.8 0 0 0 0.9 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG