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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% -
Margin 53.7% 46.3% -0.8 (35.2 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% -
Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.8% 10.2% -
Log Adjusted 89.9% 10.1% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -36 (40-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Brown * 34 8-14 2-3 2-3 1 6 4 0 3 20 14 -
C.J. Williams * 31 6-12 2-6 1-1 5 1 1 0 1 15 9 -
D. Painter * 28 3-8 0-1 1-2 12 0 0 0 0 7 11 -
S. Wood * 26 4-9 2-6 2-2 4 1 1 3 1 12 11 -
R. Howell * 25 5-10 0-0 2-2 12 1 1 0 0 12 16 -
A. Johnson 22 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 3 7 -
C.J. Leslie 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 1 1 0 5 -
T. de Thaey 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Harris 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Raymond 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Smith 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Battle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Harris * 34 3-12 0-4 4-6 1 0 1 0 1 10 -1 -
T. McKie * 26 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 2 -2 -
T. Walker * 26 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 3 0 8 13 -
T. Chennault * 21 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 3 -3 -
N. Mescheriakov * 14 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
C. Fischer 28 2-7 1-4 2-2 5 2 0 0 3 7 4 -
C. Desrosiers 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 2 5 -
A. Fields 15 1-8 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -5 -
D. Green 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Keenan 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Godwin 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter