Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | -0.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -1 (60-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zeglinski * | 36 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Scott * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| J. Harris * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Evans * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Brogdon | 28 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| D. Atkins | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P. Jesperson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Wood * | 35 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Williams * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| C.J. Leslie * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| R. Howell * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 22 | - |
| D. Painter | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Johnson | 15 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter