Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.0% | 53.0% | +0.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -11 (75-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hulls * | 36 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| C. Watford * | 33 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| C. Zeller * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| V. Jones III * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| V. Oladipo * | 22 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| W. Sheehey | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Pritchard | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Elston | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Abell | 8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Roth | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wood * | 39 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| L. Brown * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| D. Painter * | 27 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Williams * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Howell * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Leslie | 33 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Harris | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Johnson | 10 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter