๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Duke

Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History

2027 Team Stats (1 games)

84.0
PPG
50.0
Opp
+34.0
Margin
49.2%
FG%
18.2%
3P%
84.6%
FT%
37.0
RPG
13.0
APG
13.0
TO
69.4
Est. poss./game
66.9
Adj PPG
61.1
Adj Opp PPG
#43
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1716 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1324, returning +71, transfers +85, freshmen +237 More โ†’ 1716 (#1) Preseason prior 1716 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1324, returning +71, transfers +85, freshmen +237
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1023 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +268 elo More โ†’ 1024 (#40) HCA +268 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +17.4 More โ†’ +8.1 (#50) HCA +17.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +16.1 More โ†’ +8.7 (#43) HCA +16.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.997 (#15) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +48.4 More โ†’ 0.997 (#15) NetEff +48.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.9 More โ†’ 0.875 (#15) AdjNet +16.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.0 More โ†’ 0.880 (#15) AdjNet +17.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 61.1 More โ†’ 0.630 (#43) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 61.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 61.1 More โ†’ 0.630 (#43) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 61.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.696 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.696 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More โ†’ 1096 (#62) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Army Black Knights W 84 - 50
2026-11-05 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers - Preview
2026-11-10 vs Michigan State Spartans - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dame Sarr Dame Sarr F 1 21.0 16.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 16.0 - - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 104.7 100.0
Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje C 1 19.0 15.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 8.0 18.0 - - - - 50.0 25.0 100.0 - 70.5 56.2
Patrick Ngongba II Patrick Ngongba II C 1 24.0 10.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 12.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 66.7 - 57.9 50.0
Cayden Boozer Cayden Boozer G 1 20.0 9.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 9.0 - - - - 42.9 50.0 50.0 - 51.4 50.0
Deron Rippey Jr. Deron Rippey Jr. G 1 20.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 - - - - 50.0 33.3 100.0 - 71.7 62.5
Sebastian Wilkins Sebastian Wilkins G 1 19.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 61.5 50.0
Caleb Foster Caleb Foster G 1 20.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -1.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Bryson Howard Bryson Howard G 1 10.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 - - - - 40.0 0.0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Drew Scharnowski Drew Scharnowski F 1 8.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Cameron Williams Cameron Williams F 1 11.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
John Blackwell John Blackwell G 1 24.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 -4.0 - - - - 16.7 20.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Maxime Meyer Maxime Meyer C 1 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Nick Arnold Nick Arnold G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Brock Davis Brock Davis G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jacob Theodosiou Jacob Theodosiou G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Duke players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2025-2026, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Duke game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Jayson Tatum 2016-17 NBA Boston Celtics 7 35.1 27.0 6.0 7.9 11-02 19 pts, 6 reb, 9 ast 7 GP, 27.0 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 7.9 APG
Cooper Flagg 2024-25 NBA Dallas Mavericks 6 33.5 25.2 5.7 6.5 11-02 17 pts, 4 reb, 6 ast 6 GP, 25.2 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 6.5 APG
Paolo Banchero 2021-22 NBA Orlando Magic 2 33.8 24.5 6.5 7.5 10-23 14 pts, 6 reb, 5 ast 2 GP, 24.5 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 7.5 APG
Kyrie Irving 2010-11 NBA Dallas Mavericks 5 28.6 21.4 3.4 4.8 10-30 35 pts, 4 reb, 9 ast 5 GP, 21.4 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 4.8 APG
Zion Williamson 2018-19 NBA New Orleans Pelicans 7 32.2 21.3 5.3 2.7 11-02 25 pts, 11 reb, 4 ast 7 GP, 21.3 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 2.7 APG
RJ Barrett 2018-19 NBA Toronto Raptors 7 32.5 20.7 6.1 4.0 11-02 26 pts, 6 reb, 3 ast 7 GP, 20.7 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 4.0 APG
Jalen Johnson 2020-21 NBA Atlanta Hawks 7 32.6 18.3 9.0 8.0 10-31 13 pts, 7 reb, 4 ast 7 GP, 18.3 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 8.0 APG
Grayson Allen 2014-18 NBA Charlotte Hornets 8 26.3 14.9 2.9 2.5 11-02 11 pts, 1 reb, 0 ast 8 GP, 14.9 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 2.5 APG
Wendell Carter Jr. 2017-18 NBA Orlando Magic 7 32.5 12.4 8.9 1.0 11-02 6 pts, 9 reb, 0 ast 7 GP, 12.4 PPG, 8.9 RPG, 1.0 APG
Tre Jones 2018-20 NBA Chicago Bulls 7 18.2 10.4 2.9 3.0 11-02 8 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast 7 GP, 10.4 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 3.0 APG
Jared McCain 2023-24 NBA Oklahoma City Thunder + G League 1 GP 7 24.9 10.3 3.3 2.1 11-02 7 pts, 9 reb, 2 ast 7 GP, 10.3 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.1 APG
Luke Kennard 2015-17 NBA Phoenix Suns 4 16.1 8.8 2.0 1.5 11-02 6 pts, 2 reb, 1 ast 4 GP, 8.8 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 1.5 APG
Khaman Maluach 2024-25 NBA Phoenix Suns + G League 5 GP 5 20.1 7.4 6.0 1.0 11-02 5 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast 5 GP, 7.4 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 1.0 APG
Tyrese Proctor 2022-25 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers + G League 1 GP 6 13.0 5.5 2.8 2.2 11-02 10 pts, 4 reb, 2 ast 6 GP, 5.5 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 2.2 APG
Marvin Bagley III 2017-18 NBA Denver Nuggets 6 12.1 4.7 3.8 0.3 11-02 6 pts, 4 reb, 0 ast 6 GP, 4.7 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 0.3 APG
Sion James 2024-25 NBA Charlotte Hornets 8 24.5 4.6 3.1 3.0 11-02 11 pts, 4 reb, 3 ast 8 GP, 4.6 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 3.0 APG
Gary Trent Jr. 2017-18 NBA Milwaukee Bucks 2 6.3 3.0 0.5 0.5 10-31 3 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast 2 GP, 3.0 PPG, 0.5 RPG, 0.5 APG
S. Jones 2014-15 NBA Denver Nuggets 6 9.7 2.3 0.0 0.7 11-02 2 pts, 0 reb, 1 ast 6 GP, 2.3 PPG, 0.0 RPG, 0.7 APG
Kyle Filipowski 2022-24 NBA Utah Jazz 5 7.9 1.8 0.8 0.4 11-02 1 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast 5 GP, 1.8 PPG, 0.8 RPG, 0.4 APG
Semi Ojeleye 2013-15 EuroLeague Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade 9 23.9 9.4 4.1 1.4 10-29 12 pts, 2 reb, 1 ast 6 GP, 10.5 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 1.2 APG
Trevor Keels 2021-22 G League Sioux Falls Skyforce 27 34.3 20.2 3.1 3.3 03-28 20 pts, 5 reb, 6 ast no games
Wendell Moore Jr. 2019-22 G League Motor City Cruise 22 27.8 19.8 4.2 3.1 04-03 26 pts, 2 reb, 3 ast Playoffs no games
Marques Bolden 2016-19 G League Santa Cruz Warriors 29 27.0 15.8 7.7 1.2 03-28 17 pts, 9 reb, 1 ast no games
Vernon Carey Jr. 2019-20 G League Rio Grande Valley Vipers 4 14.5 11.2 3.0 0.5 01-07 2 pts, 1 reb, 0 ast no games
Dariq Whitehead 2022-23 G League Oklahoma City Blue 22 23.2 10.6 3.2 1.5 03-28 17 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast no games
C. Bosh 2018-19 G League San Diego Clippers 9 17.4 9.7 3.4 1.4 04-01 4 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast Playoffs no games
DJ Steward 2020-21 EuroCup Recoletas Salud San Pablo Burgos 5 23.4 17.6 2.4 2.8 10-28 18 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast 4 GP, 16.5 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 2.5 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-02 Zion Williamson NBA New Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies 35 25 11 4 Box
2026-11-02 Wendell Carter Jr. NBA Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards 34 6 9 0 Box
2026-11-02 Tyrese Proctor NBA Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder 18 10 4 2 Box
2026-11-02 Tre Jones NBA Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers 19 8 3 3 Box
2026-11-02 Sion James NBA Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons 21 11 4 3 Box
2026-11-02 S. Jones NBA Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers 8 2 0 1 Box
2026-11-02 RJ Barrett NBA Toronto Raptors @ LA Clippers 37 26 6 3 Box
2026-11-02 Marvin Bagley III NBA Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers 12 6 4 0 Box
2026-11-02 Luke Kennard NBA Phoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors 18 6 2 1 Box
2026-11-02 Kyle Filipowski NBA Utah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs 8 1 2 0 Box
2026-11-02 Khaman Maluach NBA Phoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors 13 5 2 0 Box
2026-11-02 Jayson Tatum NBA Boston Celtics @ Houston Rockets 32 19 6 9 Box
2026-11-02 Jared McCain NBA Oklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland Cavaliers 27 7 9 2 Box
2026-11-02 Grayson Allen NBA Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons 19 11 1 0 Box
2026-11-02 Cooper Flagg NBA Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings 40 17 4 6 Box
2026-11-01 Wendell Carter Jr. NBA Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics 35 7 10 0 Box
2026-11-01 RJ Barrett NBA Toronto Raptors @ Los Angeles Lakers 32 22 10 5 Box
2026-11-01 Jayson Tatum NBA Boston Celtics @ Orlando Magic 34 32 4 7 Box
2026-10-31 Zion Williamson NBA New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks 30 15 6 4 Box
2026-10-31 Tyrese Proctor NBA Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks 18 9 4 5 Box
2026-10-31 Sion James NBA Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers 18 4 2 1 Box
2026-10-31 Kyle Filipowski NBA Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers 6 5 0 2 Box
2026-10-31 Jared McCain NBA Oklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets 28 10 4 2 Box
2026-10-31 Jalen Johnson NBA Atlanta Hawks @ New Orleans Pelicans 28 13 7 4 Box
2026-10-31 Grayson Allen NBA Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers 30 27 4 3 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

59 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Sarr20% Foster40% Blackwell100% Rippey100% Boozer100% Boumtje100%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Williams100% Boozer30% Ngongba100% Blackwell100% Wilkins100% Howard17% Boumtje40% Blackwell60%
Misses: who misses most here

Dame SarrJoaquim Boumtje BoumtjeCayden BoozerPatrick Ngongba IIDeron Rippey Jr.Bryson HowardCaleb FosterCameron WilliamsSebastian WilkinsJohn Blackwell

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 20-21 95.2 40 Dame Sarr 20% (8 pts) Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje 15% (6 pts) Cameron Williams 100% (1 misses) -
Paint (non-RA) 5-15 33.3 10 Caleb Foster 40% (4 pts) Cameron Williams 20% (2 pts) Cayden Boozer 30% (3 misses) Bryson Howard 10% (1 misses)
Mid-range left 0-1 0.0 0 - - Patrick Ngongba II 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Left corner 3 1-2 50.0 3 John Blackwell 100% (3 pts) - John Blackwell 100% (1 misses) -
Right corner 3 1-2 50.0 3 Deron Rippey Jr. 100% (3 pts) - Sebastian Wilkins 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 1-7 14.3 3 Cayden Boozer 100% (3 pts) - Bryson Howard 17% (1 misses) Caleb Foster 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-5 0.0 0 - - Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje 40% (2 misses) Caleb Foster 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 1-6 16.7 3 Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje 100% (3 pts) - John Blackwell 60% (3 misses) Bryson Howard 20% (1 misses)