Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +19 (74-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wood * | 38 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| L. Brown * | 34 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Leslie * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Williams * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Howell * | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| D. Painter | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A. Johnson | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. de Thaey | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Marshall * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| R. Bullock Jr. * | 33 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Henson * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| T. Zeller * | 27 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 29 | - |
| H. Barnes * | 22 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 19 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Hubert | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Watts | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. White | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Cooper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Crouch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Dupont | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter