Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -3 (64-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Williams * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Brown * | 34 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 20 | - |
| S. Wood * | 33 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Leslie * | 31 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 24 | - |
| R. Howell * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Painter | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Johnson | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zeglinski * | 39 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Evans * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 38 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| M. Scott * | 37 | 9-23 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 8 | - |
| J. Harris * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| P. Jesperson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Atkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter