Morehead State
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
76.3
PPG
83.3
Opp
-7.0
Margin
44.3%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
69.0%
FT%
35.7
RPG
16.7
APG
10.7
TO
71.5
Est. poss./game
63.8
Adj PPG
78.2
Adj Opp PPG
#344
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 785 (#294) | Preseason prior 796 (returning production + recruiting): last season 938, returning -30, transfers -74, freshmen -37 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 885 (#296) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 888 (#296) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -15.1 (#340) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -15.1 (#340) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.075 (#351) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.207 (#343) | AdjNet -27.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.209 (#342) | AdjNet -26.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.265 (#344) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 78.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.267 (#344) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 78.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.221 (#339) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.221 (#339) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 860 (#296) | RD 201 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.248 (#325) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | L | 58 - 83 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Virginia Lynchburg Dragons | W | 114 - 60 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | Louisville Cardinals | L | 57 - 107 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-11-16 | vs | Miami (OH) Hamilton Harriers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Ohio Bobcats | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Elon Phoenix | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clayton Parker
|
F | 3 | 25.3 | 18.3 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 9.7 | 17.0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62.1 | 72.7 | 100.0 | -0.31 | 81.3 | 75.9 |
Kyrell Shaw
|
G | 3 | 15.3 | 12.0 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 9.3 | 8.7 | -15 | 3 | -5.0 | -12.8 | 46.4 | 46.2 | 57.1 | -1.04 | 57.9 | 57.1 |
Chase Dawson
|
G | 3 | 26.3 | 10.3 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.3 | 4.7 | -39 | 3 | -13.0 | -19.8 | 54.5 | 37.5 | 80.0 | -2.06 | 64.0 | 61.4 |
Izaiah Day
|
G | 3 | 19.3 | 7.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 7.0 | 4.7 | -4 | 3 | -1.3 | -2.8 | 38.1 | 30.8 | 100.0 | 0.14 | 50.3 | 47.6 |
Dalman Alexander
|
F | 3 | 21.3 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 7.0 | -5 | 3 | -1.7 | -3.1 | 47.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 50.3 | 47.1 |
Tayvion Tangiora
|
F | 3 | 18.7 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 6.3 | -24 | 3 | -8.0 | -17.3 | 61.5 | 0 | 16.7 | -1.44 | 54.3 | 61.5 |
Vince Dawson Iii
|
G | 3 | 22.0 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.3 | -14 | 3 | -4.7 | -8.6 | 23.8 | 16.7 | 66.7 | -0.98 | 31.4 | 28.6 |
Jarvis Wright
|
G | 3 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 21 | 3 | 7.0 | 20.7 | 41.7 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Justin Payne
|
G | 3 | 18.7 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 4.7 | 2.3 | -2 | 3 | -0.7 | -1.4 | 21.4 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.43 | 28.6 | 21.4 |
Jace Winkleman
|
G | 3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 11 | 3 | 3.7 | 58.0 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.04 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
Jaden Priester
|
F | 3 | 11.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | -17 | 3 | -5.7 | -18.6 | 37.5 | 100.0 | 0.0 | -1.13 | 39.4 | 43.8 |
Davion Cunningham
|
G | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -3.0 | -12 | 1 | -12.0 | -35.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Lonnie Bass Jr.
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kenyata Carbon
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | 1 | -3.0 | -205.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.19 | 0 | 0 |
Malik Gillespie
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -34.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Morehead State players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Morehead State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Minix | 2023-24 | NBA | Cleveland Cavaliers | 3 | 10.8 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 11-09 2 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast | 3 GP, 3.3 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 0.0 APG |
| Kenneth Faried | 2007-11 | EuroLeague | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 11 | 22.0 | 8.7 | 6.9 | 1.0 | 11-11 8 pts, 8 reb, 2 ast | 5 GP, 9.6 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 1.6 APG |
| Johni Broome | 2020-22 | G League | Wisconsin Herd | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-08 25 pts, 11 reb, 3 ast Play-In | 2 GP, 17.5 PPG, 11.5 RPG, 2.5 APG |
| Xavier Moon | 2015-17 | EuroCup | Maxima Roma | 6 | 25.2 | 14.3 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 11-12 19 pts, 5 reb, 5 ast | 4 GP, 18.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 6.5 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Xavier Moon | EuroCup | Maxima Roma | @ Skyliners Frankfurt | 28 | 19 | 5 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Kenneth Faried | EuroLeague | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | @ Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 25 | 8 | 8 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Riley Minix | NBA | Cleveland Cavaliers | @ Charlotte Hornets | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Johni Broome | G League Play-In | Wisconsin Herd | @ Iowa Wolves | 32 | 25 | 11 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Riley Minix | NBA | Cleveland Cavaliers | vs New York Knicks | 10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Johni Broome | G League Play-In | Wisconsin Herd | @ Iowa Wolves | 20 | 10 | 12 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Kenneth Faried | EuroLeague | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | @ Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | 28 | 10 | 15 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Xavier Moon | EuroCup | Maxima Roma | vs London Lions | 32 | 25 | 4 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-10-31 | Riley Minix | NBA | Cleveland Cavaliers | @ Milwaukee Bucks | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Kenneth Faried | EuroLeague | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | @ LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 22 | 17 | 8 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-28 | Xavier Moon | EuroCup | Maxima Roma | @ Siauliai Basketball | 23 | 6 | 3 | 7 | Box |
| 2026-10-14 | Johni Broome | NBA Preseason | Milwaukee Bucks | vs Chicago Bulls | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
194 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Clayton ParkerKyrell ShawChase DawsonIzaiah DayDalman AlexanderTayvion TangioraJaden PriesterJustin Payne
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 17-25 | 68.0 | 34 | Tayvion Tangiora 35% (12 pts) | Clayton Parker 24% (8 pts) | Clayton Parker 38% (3 misses) | Tayvion Tangiora 25% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 31-57 | 54.4 | 62 | Chase Dawson 19% (12 pts) | Clayton Parker 16% (10 pts) | Kyrell Shaw 23% (6 misses) | Vince Dawson Iii 15% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Jaden Priester 29% (2 misses) | Jarvis Wright 29% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-11 | 27.3 | 6 | Chase Dawson 33% (2 pts) | Dalman Alexander 33% (2 pts) | Chase Dawson 25% (2 misses) | Dalman Alexander 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 7-13 | 53.8 | 14 | Justin Payne 29% (4 pts) | Clayton Parker 14% (2 pts) | Dalman Alexander 33% (2 misses) | Kyrell Shaw 33% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-15 | 26.7 | 12 | Kyrell Shaw 75% (9 pts) | Clayton Parker 25% (3 pts) | Izaiah Day 27% (3 misses) | Chase Dawson 18% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-5 | 40.0 | 6 | Clayton Parker 50% (3 pts) | Kyrell Shaw 50% (3 pts) | Izaiah Day 33% (1 misses) | Justin Payne 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-22 | 27.3 | 18 | Kyrell Shaw 33% (6 pts) | Izaiah Day 17% (3 pts) | Izaiah Day 25% (4 misses) | Justin Payne 25% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 9-18 | 50.0 | 27 | Clayton Parker 56% (15 pts) | Chase Dawson 11% (3 pts) | Chase Dawson 22% (2 misses) | Kyrell Shaw 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-21 | 33.3 | 21 | Chase Dawson 29% (6 pts) | Izaiah Day 29% (6 pts) | Justin Payne 36% (5 misses) | Jarvis Wright 21% (3 misses) |